Deportivo Alavesvs
FC BarcelonaDeportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
FC Barcelona to win69%
1X2: model backs FC Barcelona at 69%.
- Deportivo Alaves
- Draw
- FC Barcelona
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Deportivo Alaves or draw31%
- Draw or FC Barcelona89%
- Deportivo Alaves or FC Barcelona80%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Deportivo Alaves, last 10 home games5 of 10
- FC Barcelona, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 68.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Deportivo Alaves won 1 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 14, at 2.8 per game.
What to keep in mind
- FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: LDLLW
FC Barcelona: WWWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 103 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-29 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 3–1 |
| 2025-02-02 | FC Barcelona vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona | 0–3 |
| 2024-02-03 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–3 |
| 2023-11-12 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 2–1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2021-10-30 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2021-02-13 | Barcelona vs Alaves | 5–1 |
| 2020-10-31 | Alaves vs Barcelona | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona kick off?
- Sun, 24 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs FC Barcelona head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.