FC Barcelonavs
Real SociedadFC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 20 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs FC Barcelona68%
- FC Barcelona 68%
- Draw 22%
- Real Sociedad 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 67.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and FC Barcelona won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
FC Barcelona: DWLWL
Real Sociedad: LWWDL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.90Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Real Sociedad vs FC Barcelona | 2–1 |
| 2025-09-28 | FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | 4–0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Real Sociedad vs FC Barcelona | 1–0 |
| 2024-05-13 | Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | 2–0 |
| 2023-11-04 | Real Sociedad vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2023-05-20 | Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | 1–2 |
| 2022-08-21 | Real Sociedad vs Barcelona | 1–4 |
| 2022-04-21 | Real Sociedad vs Barcelona | 0–1 |
| 2021-08-15 | Barcelona vs Real Sociedad | 4–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad?
- Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (68% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad kick off?
- Sun, 20 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the FC Barcelona vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.90 goals per game.