Malaga CF crestMalaga CFvsAtletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid

Malaga CF vs Atletico Madrid Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Atletico Madrid or draw76%

1X2: model backs Atletico Madrid at 50% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko24% / 26% / 50%
  • Malaga CF
  • Draw
  • Atletico Madrid

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Malaga CF or draw50%
  • Draw or Atletico Madrid76%
  • Malaga CF or Atletico Madrid74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Malaga CF, last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Atletico Madrid, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Atletico Madrid, rating it at 49.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Malaga CF did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Malaga CF: DLLDD

Atletico Madrid: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-19Atletico Madrid vs Malaga CF2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Malaga CF vs Atletico Madrid?
Tofiko's model favours Atletico Madrid (50% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Malaga CF vs Atletico Madrid kick off?
Sun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Malaga CF vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legAtletico Madrid 2-0 Malaga19 Aug 2026 →