CA Osasuna crestCA OsasunavsReal Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Draw34%

Tofiko33% / 34% / 33%
  • CA Osasuna
  • Draw
  • Real Sociedad

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • CA Osasuna or draw67%
  • Draw or Real Sociedad67%
  • CA Osasuna or Real Sociedad66%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.538%
  • Under 2.562%

Both teams to score

  • CA Osasuna, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Real Sociedad, last 10 away games9 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 34.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and CA Osasuna won 2 of 10, with 1 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Real Sociedad: WLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 207 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-15Real Sociedad vs CA Osasuna3–1
2025-11-22CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad1–3
2025-02-02CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad2–1
2024-10-27Real Sociedad vs CA Osasuna0–2
2024-02-10Real Sociedad vs Osasuna0–1
2023-12-02Osasuna vs Real Sociedad1–1
2023-04-28Osasuna vs Real Sociedad0–2
2022-12-31Real Sociedad vs Osasuna2–0
2022-02-27Real Sociedad vs Osasuna1–0
2021-11-07Osasuna vs Real Sociedad0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad?
Tofiko's model favours Draw (34% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad kick off?
Sun, 09 May 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the CA Osasuna vs Real Sociedad head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 1 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureReal Sociedad vs Osasuna3 Jan 2027 →