Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Racing de Santander vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander40%

Tofiko40% / 31% / 29%
  • Racing de Santander
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Racing de Santander or draw71%
  • Draw or Rayo Vallecano60%
  • Racing de Santander or Rayo Vallecano69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.540%
  • Under 2.560%

Both teams to score

  • Racing de Santander, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Racing de Santander, rating it at 39.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Racing de Santander did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Racing de Santander's last 5 produced 26 goals — 5.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Rayo Vallecano's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Racing de Santander's games are very high-scoring at 5.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Racing de Santander: DLLWL

Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 138 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 5.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Rayo Vallecano vs Racing de Santander3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Racing de Santander vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 28 Feb 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Racing de Santander vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legRayo Vallecano 3-2 Racing Santander5 Sept 2026 →