Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsRC Celta de Vigo crestRC Celta de Vigo

Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano39%

  • Rayo Vallecano 39%
  • Draw 33%
  • RC Celta de Vigo 28%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 39.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. RC Celta de Vigo's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW

RC Celta de Vigo: LLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.60Avg goals
  • 30%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-18RC Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2025-09-21Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo1–1
2025-05-18RC Celta de Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano1–2
2025-01-10Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo2–1
2024-03-31Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-12-11Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0–0
2023-03-11Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2022-11-10Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0–0
2022-02-05Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano2–0
2021-11-01Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs RC Celta de Vigo head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 5 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.60 goals per game.

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