Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF60%
Tofiko16% / 25% / 60%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 59.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Real Madrid CF: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-24 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.