Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsReal Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CF

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF60%

Tofiko16% / 25% / 60%
  • Rayo Vallecano
  • Draw
  • Real Madrid CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 59.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Real Madrid CF: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 24 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 130 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano4–1
2026-02-01Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2025-11-09Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF0–0
2025-03-09Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2024-12-14Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF3–3
2024-02-18Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid1–1
2023-11-05Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-05-24Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2022-11-07Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid3–2
2022-02-26Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legReal Madrid 4-1 Rayo Vallecano12 Sept 2026 →