Rayo Vallecanovs
Real Madrid CFRayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Real Madrid CF to win60%
1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 60%.
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Real Madrid CF
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Rayo Vallecano or draw40%
- Draw or Real Madrid CF84%
- Rayo Vallecano or Real Madrid CF75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.546%
- Under 2.554%
Both teams to score
- Rayo Vallecano, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Real Madrid CF, last 10 away games4 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 59.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 1 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW
Real Madrid CF: WLWWW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-24 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (60% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF kick off?
- Sun, 31 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.