Real Madrid CFvs
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF71%
- Real Madrid CF 71%
- Draw 20%
- Rayo Vallecano 9%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 70.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 20.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-24 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.