Real Madrid CFvs
Rayo VallecanoReal Madrid CF 4-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaSat, 12 Sep 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF71%
Tofiko71% / 19% / 10%
Market87% / 9% / 4%
- Real Madrid CF
- Draw
- Rayo Vallecano
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 70.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 3 of 10, with 4 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 21 Sep 2026.
Real Madrid CF: LWWWL
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Head-to-head
As of 21 Sep 2026.
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 70%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–1 |
| 2026-02-01 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2024-12-14 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid CF | 3–3 |
| 2024-02-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 1–1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-24 | Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–1 |
| 2022-11-07 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 3–2 |
| 2022-02-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 4 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.