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Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsCA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna

Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Real Madrid CF73%

Real Madrid CF 73%
Draw 19%
CA Osasuna 8%
  • Real Madrid CF 73%
  • Draw 19%
  • CA Osasuna 8%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 72.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Real Madrid CF: DWWWW

CA Osasuna: WWWLL

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF2–1
2025-08-19Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna1–0
2025-02-15CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF1–1
2024-11-09Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna4–0
2024-03-16Osasuna vs Real Madrid2–4
2023-10-07Real Madrid vs Osasuna4–0
2023-02-18Osasuna vs Real Madrid0–2
2022-10-02Real Madrid vs Osasuna1–1
2022-04-20Osasuna vs Real Madrid1–3
2021-10-27Real Madrid vs Osasuna0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

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