Real Madrid CF crestReal Madrid CFvsCA Osasuna crestCA Osasuna

Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Madrid CF to win73%

1X2: model backs Real Madrid CF at 73%.

Tofiko73% / 19% / 8%
  • Real Madrid CF
  • Draw
  • CA Osasuna

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Madrid CF or draw92%
  • Draw or CA Osasuna27%
  • Real Madrid CF or CA Osasuna81%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.555%
  • Under 2.545%

Both teams to score

  • Real Madrid CF, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • CA Osasuna, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 72.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

What to keep in mind

  • CA Osasuna's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Madrid CF: WLWWW

CA Osasuna: LDLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 60 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.80Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-21CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF2–1
2025-08-19Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna1–0
2025-02-15CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF1–1
2024-11-09Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna4–0
2024-03-16Osasuna vs Real Madrid2–4
2023-10-07Real Madrid vs Osasuna4–0
2023-02-18Osasuna vs Real Madrid0–2
2022-10-02Real Madrid vs Osasuna1–1
2022-04-20Osasuna vs Real Madrid1–3
2021-10-27Real Madrid vs Osasuna0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna?
Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureOsasuna vs Real Madrid11 Apr 2027 →