Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Real Madrid CF73%
- Real Madrid CF 73%
- Draw 19%
- CA Osasuna 8%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Real Madrid CF, rating it at 72.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Real Madrid CF won 2 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 19.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Real Madrid CF: DWWWW
CA Osasuna: WWWLL
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.80Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF | 2–1 |
| 2025-08-19 | Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna | 1–0 |
| 2025-02-15 | CA Osasuna vs Real Madrid CF | 1–1 |
| 2024-11-09 | Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna | 4–0 |
| 2024-03-16 | Osasuna vs Real Madrid | 2–4 |
| 2023-10-07 | Real Madrid vs Osasuna | 4–0 |
| 2023-02-18 | Osasuna vs Real Madrid | 0–2 |
| 2022-10-02 | Real Madrid vs Osasuna | 1–1 |
| 2022-04-20 | Osasuna vs Real Madrid | 1–3 |
| 2021-10-27 | Real Madrid vs Osasuna | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna?
- Tofiko's model favours Real Madrid CF (73% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Real Madrid CF vs CA Osasuna head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.80 goals per game.