Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadvsValencia CF crestValencia CF

Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Real Sociedad or draw76%

1X2: model backs Real Sociedad at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.

Tofiko45% / 31% / 24%
  • Real Sociedad
  • Draw
  • Valencia CF

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Real Sociedad or draw76%
  • Draw or Valencia CF55%
  • Real Sociedad or Valencia CF69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.543%
  • Under 2.557%

Both teams to score

  • Real Sociedad, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • Valencia CF, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Real Sociedad, rating it at 45.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Real Sociedad won 4 of 10, with 3 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 173 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Real Sociedad: WLWLL

Valencia CF: DLWLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 173 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.30Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-20Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad2–3
2026-05-17Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF3–4
2025-08-16Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad1–1
2025-01-19Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad1–0
2024-09-28Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF3–0
2024-05-16Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF1–0
2023-09-27Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad0–1
2023-02-25Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad1–0
2022-11-06Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF1–1
2022-02-06Valencia CF vs Real Sociedad0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF?
Tofiko's model favours Real Sociedad (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF kick off?
Sun, 04 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Real Sociedad vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 3 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.30 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad20 Sept 2026 →