Rayo Vallecano crestRayo VallecanovsValencia CF crestValencia CF

Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Rayo Vallecano40%

  • Rayo Vallecano 40%
  • Draw 34%
  • Valencia CF 26%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 2 of 10, with 7 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Valencia CF's 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 82 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW

Valencia CF: LLDWL

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 82 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 1.70Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 10%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-14Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-12-01Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF1–1
2025-04-19Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF1–1
2024-12-07Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2024-05-12Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano0–0
2023-12-19Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF0–1
2023-04-03Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2022-09-10Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF2–1
2022-04-11Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF1–1
2021-11-27Valencia CF vs Rayo Vallecano1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF?
Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 1 home wins, 7 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.70 goals per game.

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