FC Barcelona crestFC BarcelonavsVillarreal CF crestVillarreal CF

FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Barcelona66%

  • FC Barcelona 66%
  • Draw 21%
  • Villarreal CF 13%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Barcelona, rating it at 65.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and FC Barcelona won 3 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

They arrive from very different football. FC Barcelona's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Villarreal CF's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 21.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • FC Barcelona's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 82 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Barcelona: WWWWW

Villarreal CF: LDDWW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 82 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 4.30Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 70%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-28FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF4–1
2025-12-21Villarreal CF vs FC Barcelona0–2
2025-05-18FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF2–3
2024-09-22Villarreal CF vs FC Barcelona1–5
2024-01-27Barcelona vs Villarreal3–5
2023-08-27Villarreal vs Barcelona3–4
2023-02-12Villarreal vs Barcelona0–1
2022-10-20Barcelona vs Villarreal3–0
2022-05-22Barcelona vs Villarreal0–2
2021-11-27Villarreal vs Barcelona1–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF?
Tofiko's model favours FC Barcelona (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF kick off?
Sun, 22 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the FC Barcelona vs Villarreal CF head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 8 away wins, averaging 4.30 goals per game.

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