Villarreal CF crestVillarreal CFvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form

La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Villarreal CF to win59%

1X2: model backs Villarreal CF at 59%.

Tofiko59% / 26% / 15%
  • Villarreal CF
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Villarreal CF or draw85%
  • Draw or Rayo Vallecano41%
  • Villarreal CF or Rayo Vallecano74%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Villarreal CF, last 10 home games9 of 10
  • Rayo Vallecano, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (380 games)56%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 59.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Villarreal CF: LWWLL

Rayo Vallecano: DDWLW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 61 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 2.60Avg goals
  • 40%Both scored
  • 40%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal CF2–0
2025-11-01Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano4–0
2025-02-22Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal CF0–1
2024-12-18Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2024-04-28Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano3–0
2023-09-24Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal1–1
2023-05-28Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal2–1
2023-01-30Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-05-12Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal1–5
2021-12-12Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano2–0

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FAQ

Who will win Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sun, 13 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Villarreal2 May 2027 →