Villarreal CFvs
Rayo VallecanoVillarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaSun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Villarreal CF59%
- Villarreal CF 59%
- Draw 26%
- Rayo Vallecano 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Villarreal CF, rating it at 59.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Villarreal CF won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Villarreal CF: LDWWL
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Head-to-head
- 10Games
- 2.60Avg goals
- 40%Both scored
- 40%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal CF | 2–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 4–0 |
| 2025-02-22 | Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal CF | 0–1 |
| 2024-12-18 | Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–1 |
| 2024-04-28 | Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano | 3–0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal | 1–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal | 2–1 |
| 2023-01-30 | Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–1 |
| 2022-05-12 | Rayo Vallecano vs Villarreal | 1–5 |
| 2021-12-12 | Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Villarreal CF (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 13 Dec 2026 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Villarreal CF vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 2 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.60 goals per game.