Leicester City crestLeicester CityvsLeeds United crestLeeds United

Leicester City 2-0 Leeds United — Result, H2H & Form

English Premier League 2022-2023Thu, 20 Oct 2022 19:15 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Leicester City45%

  • Leicester City 45%
  • Draw 22%
  • Leeds United 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Leicester City, rating it at 44.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Leicester City won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 4 Sep 2026.

Leicester City: WDLLD

Leeds United: DWWWD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Sep 2026.

  • 6Games
  • 2.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-04-25Leeds United vs Leicester City1–1
2022-10-20Leicester City vs Leeds United2–0
2022-03-05Leicester City vs Leeds United1–0
2021-11-07Leeds United vs Leicester City1–1
2021-01-31Leicester City vs Leeds United1–3
2020-11-02Leeds United vs Leicester City1–4

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Leicester City vs Leeds United?
Tofiko's model favours Leicester City (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Leicester City vs Leeds United kick off?
Thu, 20 Oct 2022 19:15 GMT — English Premier League 2022-2023.
What is the Leicester City vs Leeds United head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legLeeds 1-1 Leicester25 Apr 2023 →