Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Gillingham39%
- Gillingham
- Draw
- Accrington Stanley F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Gillingham or draw69%
- Draw or Accrington Stanley F.C.61%
- Gillingham or Accrington Stanley F.C.70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.542%
- Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
- Gillingham, last 10 home games3 of 10
- Accrington Stanley F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Gillingham, rating it at 39.0% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Gillingham won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Gillingham's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Accrington Stanley F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Gillingham's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Gillingham: WWDLL
Accrington Stanley F.C.: DDWDD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Accrington Stanley F.C. vs Gillingham | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Gillingham (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Gillingham vs Accrington Stanley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.