Chesterfield F.C. crestChesterfield F.C.vsPort Vale F.C. crestPort Vale F.C.

Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Chesterfield F.C.63%

Tofiko63% / 24% / 13%
  • Chesterfield F.C.
  • Draw
  • Port Vale F.C.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Chesterfield F.C. or draw88%
  • Draw or Port Vale F.C.37%
  • Chesterfield F.C. or Port Vale F.C.76%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.539%
  • Under 2.561%

Both teams to score

  • Chesterfield F.C., last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Port Vale F.C., last 10 away games4 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Chesterfield F.C., rating it at 63.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Chesterfield F.C. did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Chesterfield F.C.'s last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Chesterfield F.C.: DWLDW

Port Vale F.C.: WWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 95 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 1Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-22Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Chesterfield F.C. (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
Sat, 16 Jan 2027 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Chesterfield F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixturePort Vale vs Chesterfield17 Oct 2026 →