Crawley Town F.C. crestCrawley Town F.C.vsCheltenham Town F.C. crestCheltenham Town F.C.

Crawley Town F.C. 1-3 Cheltenham Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League TwoSat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Crawley Town F.C.40%

  • Crawley Town F.C. 40%
  • Draw 24%
  • Cheltenham Town F.C. 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Crawley Town F.C., rating it at 39.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Crawley Town F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Cheltenham Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

Crawley Town F.C.: LLDLW

Cheltenham Town F.C.: WDWDL

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Crawley Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.1–3
2026-01-04Cheltenham Town F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.3–0
2025-09-13Crawley Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Crawley Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Crawley Town F.C. (40% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Crawley Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL League Two.
What is the Crawley Town F.C. vs Cheltenham Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureCheltenham vs Crawley Town20 Feb 2027 →