Gillinghamvs
Milton Keynes DonsGillingham 1-5 Milton Keynes Dons — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League Two 2025-2026Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Milton Keynes Dons55%
- Gillingham 23%
- Draw 22%
- Milton Keynes Dons 55%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 55.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Gillingham won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Gillingham: DDLLW
Milton Keynes Dons: DDDLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 5.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons | 1–5 |
| 2025-10-04 | Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons?
- Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons kick off?
- Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
- What is the Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.