Milton Keynes Dons crestMilton Keynes DonsvsGillingham crestGillingham

Milton Keynes Dons 3-2 Gillingham — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League Two 2025-2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Milton Keynes Dons69%

Tofiko69% / 19% / 13%
Market50% / 27% / 23%
  • Milton Keynes Dons
  • Draw
  • Gillingham

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Milton Keynes Dons, rating it at 68.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Milton Keynes Dons won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 22 Sep 2026.

Milton Keynes Dons: DDDLD

Gillingham: WWWDD

Head-to-head

As of 22 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 5.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-10Gillingham vs Milton Keynes Dons1–5
2025-10-04Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham3–2

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FAQ

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham?
Tofiko's model favours Milton Keynes Dons (69% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 11:30 GMT — EFL League Two 2025-2026.
What is the Milton Keynes Dons vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legGillingham 1-5 Milton Keynes Dons10 Mar 2026 →