Newport County A.F.C.vs
GillinghamNewport County A.F.C. vs Gillingham Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoTue, 27 Apr 2027 18:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Newport County A.F.C.39%
- Newport County A.F.C.
- Draw
- Gillingham
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newport County A.F.C. or draw66%
- Draw or Gillingham61%
- Newport County A.F.C. or Gillingham73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.552%
- Under 2.548%
Both teams to score
- Newport County A.F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Gillingham, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Newport County A.F.C., rating it at 38.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Gillingham's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. Newport County A.F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Gillingham's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 196 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newport County A.F.C.: WDDWW
Gillingham: WWDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 196 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Gillingham vs Newport County A.F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gillingham vs Newport County A.F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Gillingham | 1–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Gillingham?
- Tofiko's model favours Newport County A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Gillingham kick off?
- Tue, 27 Apr 2027 18:45 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Gillingham head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.