Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swindon Town F.C.53%
- Newport County A.F.C.
- Draw
- Swindon Town F.C.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Newport County A.F.C. or draw47%
- Draw or Swindon Town F.C.77%
- Newport County A.F.C. or Swindon Town F.C.76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.557%
- Under 2.543%
Both teams to score
- Newport County A.F.C., last 10 home games7 of 10
- Swindon Town F.C., last 10 away games3 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (529 games)52%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Swindon Town F.C., rating it at 53.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newport County A.F.C.: WDDWW
Swindon Town F.C.: LLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 38 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-22 | Swindon Town F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 0–2 |
| 2026-02-11 | Swindon Town F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-09 | Swindon vs Newport County | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swindon Town F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.