Newport County A.F.C.vs
Swindon Town F.C.Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Form
EFL League TwoSat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Swindon Town F.C.53%
- Newport County A.F.C. 23%
- Draw 24%
- Swindon Town F.C. 53%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Swindon Town F.C., rating it at 53.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Newport County A.F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Newport County A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Newport County A.F.C.: LDLWD
Swindon Town F.C.: WLWDL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 81 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Swindon Town F.C. vs Newport County A.F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2021-11-09 | Swindon vs Newport County | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Swindon Town F.C. (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the Newport County A.F.C. vs Swindon Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.