Olympique de Marseillevs
AJ AuxerreOlympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 24 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Olympique de Marseille to win63%
1X2: model backs Olympique de Marseille at 63%.
- Olympique de Marseille
- Draw
- AJ Auxerre
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Olympique de Marseille or draw87%
- Draw or AJ Auxerre37%
- Olympique de Marseille or AJ Auxerre76%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.554%
- Under 2.546%
Both teams to score
- Olympique de Marseille, last 10 home games7 of 10
- AJ Auxerre, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 63.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 6 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 2 of 6. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
What to keep in mind
- AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 193 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL
AJ Auxerre: LWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 193 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 6Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-01 | AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | AJ Auxerre vs Olympique de Marseille | 3–0 |
| 2024-11-08 | Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 1–3 |
| 2023-04-30 | Marseille vs AJ Auxerre | 2–1 |
| 2022-09-03 | AJ Auxerre vs Marseille | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
- Sat, 24 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
- In their last 6 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.