AJ Auxerre crestAJ AuxerrevsParis FC crestParis FC

AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:15 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Paris FC35%

Tofiko34% / 31% / 35%
  • AJ Auxerre
  • Draw
  • Paris FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • AJ Auxerre or draw65%
  • Draw or Paris FC66%
  • AJ Auxerre or Paris FC69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • AJ Auxerre, last 10 home games8 of 10
  • Paris FC, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Paris FC, rating it at 34.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and AJ Auxerre won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Paris FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

AJ Auxerre: LWWWL

Paris FC: LWDWW

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC0–0
2025-11-29Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre1–1

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FAQ

Who will win AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris FC (35% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC kick off?
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureParis FC vs Auxerre30 Jan 2027 →