RC Lensvs
Olympique de MarseilleRC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
RC Lens or draw75%
1X2: model backs RC Lens at 45% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- RC Lens
- Draw
- Olympique de Marseille
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- RC Lens or draw75%
- Draw or Olympique de Marseille55%
- RC Lens or Olympique de Marseille70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- RC Lens, last 10 home games4 of 10
- Olympique de Marseille, last 10 away games2 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick RC Lens, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and RC Lens won 6 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
RC Lens: LWWLD
Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 26 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-28 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-26 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille?
- Tofiko's model favours RC Lens (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.