Paris FC crestParis FCvsAJ Auxerre crestAJ Auxerre

Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Paris FC to win53%

1X2: model backs Paris FC at 53%.

Tofiko53% / 28% / 19%
  • Paris FC
  • Draw
  • AJ Auxerre

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

Remind me before kick-off

Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.

More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Paris FC or draw81%
  • Draw or AJ Auxerre47%
  • Paris FC or AJ Auxerre72%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.550%
  • Under 2.550%

Both teams to score

  • Paris FC, last 10 home games4 of 10
  • AJ Auxerre, last 10 away games7 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris FC, rating it at 52.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Paris FC won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. AJ Auxerre's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Paris FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • AJ Auxerre's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Paris FC: LWDWW

AJ Auxerre: LWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 109 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-08AJ Auxerre vs Paris FC0–0
2025-11-29Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre?
Tofiko's model favours Paris FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
Sat, 30 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Paris FC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.

Reverse fixtureAuxerre vs Paris FC7 Nov 2026 →