Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
ES Troyes ACParis Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win80%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 80%.
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
- Draw
- ES Troyes AC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or draw94%
- Draw or ES Troyes AC20%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC or ES Troyes AC87%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.574%
- Under 2.526%
Both teams to score
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 home games8 of 10
- ES Troyes AC, last 10 away games5 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 80.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
ES Troyes AC: LDLLL
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 25 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2022-10-29 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–3 |
| 2022-05-08 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:45 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.