Paris Saint-Germain FCvs
ES Troyes ACParis Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC80%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 80%
- Draw 13%
- ES Troyes AC 6%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 80.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Paris Saint-Germain FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 80.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 13.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
ES Troyes AC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2022-10-29 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–3 |
| 2022-05-08 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (80% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Paris Saint-Germain FC vs ES Troyes AC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.