Olympique de Marseillevs
RC LensOlympique de Marseille vs RC Lens Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Olympique de Marseille or draw72%
1X2: model backs Olympique de Marseille at 42% — under 50%, so the pick covers the draw too.
- Olympique de Marseille
- Draw
- RC Lens
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Olympique de Marseille or draw72%
- Draw or RC Lens58%
- Olympique de Marseille or RC Lens70%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Olympique de Marseille, last 10 home games7 of 10
- RC Lens, last 10 away games7 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 42.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 10 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 2 of 10. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL
RC Lens: LWWLD
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 215 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 10Games
- 2.70Avg goals
- 60%Both scored
- 60%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens | 3–1 |
| 2025-10-25 | RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-23 | RC Lens vs Olympique de Marseille | 1–3 |
| 2024-04-28 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 2–1 |
| 2023-11-12 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 1–0 |
| 2023-05-06 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 2–1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 0–1 |
| 2022-01-22 | RC Lens vs Marseille | 0–2 |
| 2021-09-26 | Marseille vs RC Lens | 2–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens?
- Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens kick off?
- Sun, 16 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Olympique de Marseille vs RC Lens head-to-head record?
- In their last 10 meetings: 5 home wins, 0 draws, 5 away wins, averaging 2.70 goals per game.