OGC Nice crestOGC NicevsOlympique de Marseille crestOlympique de Marseille

OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Olympique de Marseille38%

Tofiko31% / 31% / 38%
  • OGC Nice
  • Draw
  • Olympique de Marseille

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • OGC Nice or draw62%
  • Draw or Olympique de Marseille69%
  • OGC Nice or Olympique de Marseille69%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.548%
  • Under 2.552%

Both teams to score

  • OGC Nice, last 10 home games7 of 10
  • Olympique de Marseille, last 10 away games2 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 37.8% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and OGC Nice won 4 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

OGC Nice: WWLDL

Olympique de Marseille: WLLLL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 206 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice0–3
2026-04-26Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice1–1
2025-11-21OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille1–5
2025-01-26OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille2–0
2024-09-14Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice2–0
2024-04-24Marseille vs OGC Nice2–2
2023-10-21OGC Nice vs Marseille1–0
2023-02-05Marseille vs OGC Nice1–3
2022-08-28OGC Nice vs Marseille0–3
2022-03-20Marseille vs OGC Nice2–1

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FAQ

Who will win OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille kick off?
Sat, 08 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureMarseille vs Nice5 Dec 2026 →