Olympique de Marseille crestOlympique de MarseillevsOGC Nice crestOGC Nice

Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Olympique de Marseille to win54%

1X2: model backs Olympique de Marseille at 54%.

Tofiko54% / 29% / 18%
  • Olympique de Marseille
  • Draw
  • OGC Nice

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Olympique de Marseille or draw82%
  • Draw or OGC Nice46%
  • Olympique de Marseille or OGC Nice71%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.549%
  • Under 2.551%

Both teams to score

  • Olympique de Marseille, last 10 home games6 of 10
  • OGC Nice, last 10 away games3 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Olympique de Marseille, rating it at 53.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Olympique de Marseille won 2 of 10, with 2 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

Recent form

As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 51 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Olympique de Marseille: LWLLL

OGC Nice: WWLDL

Head-to-head

As of 16 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 51 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 10Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-25Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice0–3
2026-04-26Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice1–1
2025-11-21OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille1–5
2025-01-26OGC Nice vs Olympique de Marseille2–0
2024-09-14Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice2–0
2024-04-24Marseille vs OGC Nice2–2
2023-10-21OGC Nice vs Marseille1–0
2023-02-05Marseille vs OGC Nice1–3
2022-08-28OGC Nice vs Marseille0–3
2022-03-20Marseille vs OGC Nice2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice?
Tofiko's model favours Olympique de Marseille (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Olympique de Marseille vs OGC Nice head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 4 home wins, 2 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureNice vs Marseille8 May 2027 →