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Lille OSC crestLille OSCvsAJ Auxerre crestAJ Auxerre

Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre Prediction, H2H & Stats

Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lille OSC63%

Lille OSC 63%
Draw 26%
AJ Auxerre 12%
  • Lille OSC 63%
  • Draw 26%
  • AJ Auxerre 12%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Lille OSC, rating it at 62.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 6 times, and Lille OSC won 3 of 6, with 2 drawn. Across 6 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Lille OSC: WLWLW

AJ Auxerre: DLWWW

Head-to-head

  • 6Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-17Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre0–2
2025-12-14AJ Auxerre vs Lille OSC3–4
2025-04-20Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre3–1
2025-01-10AJ Auxerre vs Lille OSC0–0
2023-04-22AJ Auxerre vs Lille OSC1–1
2022-08-07Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre4–1

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FAQ

Who will win Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre?
Tofiko's model favours Lille OSC (63% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre kick off?
Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the Lille OSC vs AJ Auxerre head-to-head record?
In their last 6 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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