ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win75%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 75%.
- ES Troyes AC
- Draw
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- ES Troyes AC or draw25%
- Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC92%
- ES Troyes AC or Paris Saint-Germain FC84%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.567%
- Under 2.533%
Both teams to score
- ES Troyes AC, last 10 home games5 of 10
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 75.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
ES Troyes AC: LDLLL
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–3 |
| 2022-10-29 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 4–3 |
| 2022-05-08 | Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes | 2–2 |
| 2021-08-07 | ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.