ES Troyes AC crestES Troyes ACvsParis Saint-Germain FC crestParis Saint-Germain FC

ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Ligue 1Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Our pick

Paris Saint-Germain FC to win75%

1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 75%.

Tofiko9% / 16% / 75%
  • ES Troyes AC
  • Draw
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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More markets

Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • ES Troyes AC or draw25%
  • Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC92%
  • ES Troyes AC or Paris Saint-Germain FC84%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.567%
  • Under 2.533%

Both teams to score

  • ES Troyes AC, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 75.5% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and ES Troyes AC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

ES Troyes AC: LDLLL

Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 221 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2023-05-07ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain1–3
2022-10-29Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes4–3
2022-05-08Paris Saint-Germain vs ESTAC Troyes2–2
2021-08-07ESTAC Troyes vs Paris Saint-Germain1–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (75% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
Sat, 22 May 2027 15:00 GMT — Ligue 1.
What is the ES Troyes AC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes7 Nov 2026 →