Toulouse FCvs
Paris Saint-Germain FCToulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Our pick
Paris Saint-Germain FC to win62%
1X2: model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC at 62%.
- Toulouse FC
- Draw
- Paris Saint-Germain FC
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Toulouse FC or draw38%
- Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC85%
- Toulouse FC or Paris Saint-Germain FC77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.558%
- Under 2.542%
Both teams to score
- Toulouse FC, last 10 home games7 of 10
- Paris Saint-Germain FC, last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (298 games)53%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 61.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Toulouse FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Toulouse FC: DLWDL
Paris Saint-Germain FC: WWWWL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 52 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3–6 |
| 2025-02-15 | Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–3 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.