Toulouse FCvs
Paris Saint-Germain FCToulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Ligue 1Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Paris Saint-Germain FC62%
- Toulouse FC 15%
- Draw 23%
- Paris Saint-Germain FC 62%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Paris Saint-Germain FC, rating it at 61.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Toulouse FC won none of them. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
The model puts the draw at 22.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toulouse FC: WDDDW
Paris Saint-Germain FC: DLWWD
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 3.63Avg goals
- 63%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC | 3–1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 3–6 |
| 2025-02-15 | Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0–1 |
| 2024-11-22 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs Toulouse FC | 3–0 |
| 2024-05-12 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse | 1–3 |
| 2023-08-19 | Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain | 1–1 |
| 2023-02-04 | Paris Saint-Germain vs Toulouse | 2–1 |
| 2022-08-31 | Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Paris Saint-Germain FC (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC kick off?
- Sat, 05 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Ligue 1.
- What is the Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 3.63 goals per game.