CF Montrealvs
New York Red BullsCF Montreal 0-2 New York Red Bulls — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 20 Sep 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls42%
- CF Montreal 32%
- Draw 26%
- New York Red Bulls 42%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 42.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and CF Montreal won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026.
CF Montreal: DWDDL
New York Red Bulls: DLLWL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls | 4–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls | 0–2 |
| 2025-04-26 | New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (42% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls kick off?
- Sat, 20 Sep 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the CF Montreal vs New York Red Bulls head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.67 goals per game.