New York Red Bullsvs
San Diego FCNew York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York Red Bulls39%
- New York Red Bulls 39%
- Draw 23%
- San Diego FC 38%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York Red Bulls, rating it at 38.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. San Diego FC's last 5 produced 17 goals — 3.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. New York Red Bulls's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 29 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
New York Red Bulls: LDLDL
San Diego FC: LLWWL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York Red Bulls (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does New York Red Bulls vs San Diego FC kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.