Toronto FCvs
CF MontrealToronto FC vs CF Montreal Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Toronto FC48%
- Toronto FC 48%
- Draw 25%
- CF Montreal 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Toronto FC, rating it at 47.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Toronto FC won 1 of 3, with 2 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Toronto FC: DLDDL
CF Montreal: LLDWW
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | CF Montreal vs Toronto FC | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Toronto FC vs CF Montreal | 1–1 |
| 2025-05-17 | CF Montreal vs Toronto FC | 1–6 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Toronto FC vs CF Montreal?
- Tofiko's model favours Toronto FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Toronto FC vs CF Montreal kick off?
- Sat, 10 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Toronto FC vs CF Montreal head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.