Philadelphia Union crestPhiladelphia UnionvsReal Salt Lake crestReal Salt Lake

Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Philadelphia Union56%

  • Philadelphia Union 56%
  • Draw 23%
  • Real Salt Lake 21%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 56.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 11 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 29 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Philadelphia Union: WWWDD

Real Salt Lake: LDLLL

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake?
Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Philadelphia Union vs Real Salt Lake kick off?
Sat, 10 Oct 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.

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