Charlotte FCvs
Orlando CityCharlotte FC vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 31 Oct 2026 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Charlotte FC48%
- Charlotte FC 48%
- Draw 22%
- Orlando City 30%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Charlotte FC, rating it at 48.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Charlotte FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Orlando City's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 3. Charlotte FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 22.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Orlando City's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Charlotte FC: WDWWL
Orlando City: WWLWD
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Orlando City vs Charlotte FC | 4–1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Charlotte FC vs Orlando City | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-14 | Orlando City vs Charlotte FC | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Charlotte FC vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Charlotte FC (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Charlotte FC vs Orlando City kick off?
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Charlotte FC vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.