Orlando Cityvs
Charlotte FCOrlando City 3-1 Charlotte FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City46%
- Orlando City 46%
- Draw 23%
- Charlotte FC 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 45.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 10 Sep 2026.
Orlando City: WWDWL
Charlotte FC: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 10 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.33Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-21 | Orlando City vs Charlotte FC | 4–1 |
| 2025-07-05 | Charlotte FC vs Orlando City | 2–2 |
| 2025-05-14 | Orlando City vs Charlotte FC | 3–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Charlotte FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (46% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs Charlotte FC kick off?
- Wed, 14 May 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Orlando City vs Charlotte FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 4.33 goals per game.