Chicago Firevs
Orlando CityChicago Fire vs Orlando City Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerThu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Chicago Fire52%
- Chicago Fire 52%
- Draw 20%
- Orlando City 28%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Chicago Fire, rating it at 52.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Chicago Fire won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 19.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Chicago Fire: DWWWW
Orlando City: WLDDL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 67 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando City vs Chicago Fire | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Orlando City vs Chicago Fire | 1–3 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chicago Fire vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Chicago Fire vs Orlando City?
- Tofiko's model favours Chicago Fire (52% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Chicago Fire vs Orlando City kick off?
- Thu, 29 Oct 2026 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Chicago Fire vs Orlando City head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.