Orlando Cityvs
Chicago FireOrlando City 1-2 Chicago Fire — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Orlando City57%
- Orlando City 57%
- Draw 21%
- Chicago Fire 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Orlando City, rating it at 56.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Orlando City won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 56.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Orlando City: WWDWL
Chicago Fire: DDDLD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Orlando City vs Chicago Fire | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-31 | Orlando City vs Chicago Fire | 1–3 |
| 2025-05-04 | Chicago Fire vs Orlando City | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Orlando City vs Chicago Fire?
- Tofiko's model favours Orlando City (57% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Orlando City vs Chicago Fire kick off?
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Orlando City vs Chicago Fire head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.