D.C. United crestD.C. UnitedvsNew York City FC crestNew York City FC

D.C. United vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs New York City FC47%

Tofiko29% / 24% / 47%
  • D.C. United
  • Draw
  • New York City FC

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 46.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 4 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

D.C. United: LDLDW

New York City FC: DLWLD

Head-to-head

As of 4 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 34 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-03New York City FC vs D.C. United0–2
2025-08-30New York City FC vs D.C. United1–2
2025-05-14D.C. United vs New York City FC0–0

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FAQ

Who will win D.C. United vs New York City FC?
Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does D.C. United vs New York City FC kick off?
Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the D.C. United vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legNew York City FC 0-2 DC United3 May 2026 →