D.C. Unitedvs
New York City FCD.C. United vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC47%
- D.C. United 29%
- Draw 24%
- New York City FC 47%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 46.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
D.C. United: WDDDL
New York City FC: DWWLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-14 | D.C. United vs New York City FC | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.