D.C. Unitedvs
New York City FCD.C. United vs New York City FC Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC47%
- D.C. United 29%
- Draw 24%
- New York City FC 47%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks New York City FC, rating it at 46.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and D.C. United won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 46.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
D.C. United: LLDDW
New York City FC: LLLLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 77 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-14 | D.C. United vs New York City FC | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win D.C. United vs New York City FC?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (47% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does D.C. United vs New York City FC kick off?
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 21:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the D.C. United vs New York City FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.