New York City FCvs
D.C. UnitedNew York City FC 0-2 D.C. United — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 03 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs New York City FC64%
- New York City FC 64%
- Draw 21%
- D.C. United 15%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick New York City FC, rating it at 63.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and New York City FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
New York City FC: LDDDL
D.C. United: WDLLD
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 0–2 |
| 2025-08-30 | New York City FC vs D.C. United | 1–2 |
| 2025-05-14 | D.C. United vs New York City FC | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win New York City FC vs D.C. United?
- Tofiko's model favours New York City FC (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does New York City FC vs D.C. United kick off?
- Sun, 03 May 2026 19:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the New York City FC vs D.C. United head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.