FC Cincinnati crestFC CincinnativsPhiladelphia Union crestPhiladelphia Union

FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs FC Cincinnati48%

Tofiko48% / 24% / 28%
  • FC Cincinnati
  • Draw
  • Philadelphia Union

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick FC Cincinnati, rating it at 48.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and FC Cincinnati won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Philadelphia Union's games are very high-scoring at 5.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 29 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

FC Cincinnati: LDDLL

Philadelphia Union: WWWWW

Head-to-head

As of 3 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 29 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-09Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati5–0
2025-08-30FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union0–1
2025-03-02Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati4–1

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FAQ

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union?
Tofiko's model favours FC Cincinnati (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union kick off?
Sat, 31 Oct 2026 18:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati9 Sept 2026 →