Philadelphia Unionvs
FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union43%
- Philadelphia Union 43%
- Draw 24%
- FC Cincinnati 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Philadelphia Union: DDWLW
FC Cincinnati: DWDLW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 18 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.