Philadelphia Unionvs
FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:55 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union48%
- Philadelphia Union 48%
- Draw 23%
- FC Cincinnati 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 48.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 11 Sep 2026.
Philadelphia Union: WWWDD
FC Cincinnati: LLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 11 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati | 5–0 |
| 2025-08-30 | FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:55 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.