Philadelphia Unionvs
FC CincinnatiPhiladelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerWed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Philadelphia Union43%
- Philadelphia Union 43%
- Draw 24%
- FC Cincinnati 33%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Philadelphia Union, rating it at 43.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Philadelphia Union won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- FC Cincinnati's games are very high-scoring at 5.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Philadelphia Union: WWLDL
FC Cincinnati: LWWWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-30 | FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union | 0–1 |
| 2025-03-02 | Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati | 4–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?
- Tofiko's model favours Philadelphia Union (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati kick off?
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.