Inter Miami CF crestInter Miami CFvsNew England Revolution crestNew England Revolution

Inter Miami CF 4-1 New England Revolution — Result, H2H & Form

Major League Soccer 2026Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Inter Miami CF66%

  • Inter Miami CF 66%
  • Draw 19%
  • New England Revolution 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Inter Miami CF, rating it at 66.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Inter Miami CF won 2 of 3, with 1 drawn. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 18.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Inter Miami CF's games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 12 Sep 2026.

Inter Miami CF: DDWLD

New England Revolution: WLWDW

Head-to-head

As of 12 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 3.33Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution1–1
2025-10-04Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution4–1
2025-07-09New England Revolution vs Inter Miami CF1–2

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FAQ

Who will win Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution?
Tofiko's model favours Inter Miami CF (66% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution kick off?
Sat, 04 Oct 2025 23:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
What is the Inter Miami CF vs New England Revolution head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.33 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureNew England Revolution vs Inter Miami2 Nov 2026 →