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Los Angeles FC crestLos Angeles FCvsMinnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FC

Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Los Angeles FC45%

  • Los Angeles FC 45%
  • Draw 25%
  • Minnesota United FC 30%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Los Angeles FC, rating it at 44.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Los Angeles FC won all of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 70 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Los Angeles FC: DLLDW

Minnesota United FC: WLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 70 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 3Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC0–1
2025-07-17Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC0–1
2025-02-22Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC?
Tofiko's model favours Los Angeles FC (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
Sun, 01 Nov 2026 21:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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