Minnesota United FCvs
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United FC 0-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, H2H & Form
Major League Soccer 2026Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC43%
- Minnesota United FC 43%
- Draw 25%
- Los Angeles FC 32%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 42.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Minnesota United FC won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Los Angeles FC's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 12 Sep 2026.
Minnesota United FC: LLDWL
Los Angeles FC: WDDDL
Head-to-head
As of 12 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-07-17 | Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-22 | Los Angeles FC vs Minnesota United FC | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC kick off?
- Thu, 17 Jul 2025 00:30 GMT — Major League Soccer 2026.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs Los Angeles FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.