Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC53%
- Minnesota United FC
- Draw
- San Jose Earthquakes
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
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Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Minnesota United FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. San Jose Earthquakes's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 36 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Minnesota United FC: LLLLL
San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD
Head-to-head
As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 36 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.