Minnesota United FC crestMinnesota United FCvsSan Jose Earthquakes crestSan Jose Earthquakes

Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form

Major League SoccerSun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Minnesota United FC53%

Tofiko53% / 22% / 25%
  • Minnesota United FC
  • Draw
  • San Jose Earthquakes

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.2% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Minnesota United FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Minnesota United FC's last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. San Jose Earthquakes's 5 produced 16, at 3.2 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Minnesota United FC's games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 36 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.

Minnesota United FC: LLLLL

San Jose Earthquakes: WDWWD

Head-to-head

As of 2 Oct 2026. Kickoff is still 36 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.

  • 4Games
  • 4.50Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-23San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC1–5
2026-04-29San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC4–2
2025-07-13Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes4–1
2025-03-09San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC0–1

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FAQ

Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
What is the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legSan Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC23 Aug 2026 →