Minnesota United FCvs
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction, H2H & Form
Major League SoccerSun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Minnesota United FC53%
- Minnesota United FC 53%
- Draw 22%
- San Jose Earthquakes 25%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Minnesota United FC, rating it at 53.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Minnesota United FC won 3 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Minnesota United FC: WLDWD
San Jose Earthquakes: LLLLD
Head-to-head
As of 23 Aug 2026. Kickoff is still 76 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 4Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes?
- Tofiko's model favours Minnesota United FC (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes kick off?
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 00:00 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.