San Jose Earthquakesvs
Minnesota United FCSan Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Major League SoccerSun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs San Jose Earthquakes41%
- San Jose Earthquakes 41%
- Draw 23%
- Minnesota United FC 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks San Jose Earthquakes, rating it at 40.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and San Jose Earthquakes won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 40.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
San Jose Earthquakes: DLLWL
Minnesota United FC: DLDLL
Head-to-head
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 4–2 |
| 2025-07-13 | Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes | 4–1 |
| 2025-03-09 | San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC?
- Tofiko's model favours San Jose Earthquakes (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC kick off?
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 02:30 GMT — Major League Soccer.
- What is the San Jose Earthquakes vs Minnesota United FC head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.